Saturday, October 18, 2014

Week 8 Preview and Players To Watch


Week 8 Previews


Top 25 vs. Top 25

No. 2 Florida State (6-0) vs. No. 5 Notre Dame (6-0), 8pm ET, ABC/WatchESPN
Line: FSU -9, O/U: 57.5
This is a season defining game for both teams and the loser is likely out of the playoff hunt.  FSU has had its share of off-field distractions but week in and week out they seem to shut it out and win football games.  Jameis Winston and the FSU offense will face plenty of pressure from the Notre Dame defense and the Irish’s ability to get home will likely make the difference in the game.  Winston has traditionally be good against the blitz but their offensive line has under-performed this season. 

For the Irish, quarterback Everett Golson is the key.  He must play his best game of the season for Notre Dame to have a chance.  He’s turned the football over at an alarming rate the past few weeks and is facing an FSU defense that has started to force more turnovers in their last few games. 

In the end, I think FSU wins a close game on the arm of their Heisman winning quarterback, Jameis Winston.

Jeremy- Florida State 37, Notre Dame 31
Nick-Florida State 48, Notre Dame 31


No. 7 Alabama (5-1) vs. No. 21 Texas A&M (5-2), 3:30pm ET, CBS
Line: BAMA -14, O/U: 63.5
Someone will stop the slide this week.  A&M has lost two straight and the holes seem to be growing in what once looked like a promising season.  Alabama lost two weeks ago to Ole Miss and the win against Arkansas last week felt like a loss.  This is a winnable game for the Aggies.  Nick Saban and the Alabama defense has struggled against Kevin Sumlin the past two season and the way ‘Bama’s playing it’s not crazy to think A&M can pull it out.  This game will be a lot closer than the 14-point spread and you could see eye-popping scoring numbers.

Jeremy- Alabama 41, TA&M 37
Nick-Alabama 48, Texas A&M 42


No. 11 Oklahoma (5-1) vs. No. 14 Kansas State (4-1), 12pm ET, ESPN/WatchESPN
Line: OU -7, O/U: 55
High-stakes in the Big12 here as the winner stays alive in the conference and the loser is likely out.  Oklahoma has been outplayed the last two weeks (lost to TCU and was outplayed in a win over Texas) and quarterback Trevor Knight has been pretty shaky.  Kansas State is coming off a bye week and will give OU a run.  If this game was in Manhattan, KSU is the pick.  It’s in Norman and Bob Stoops doesn’t lose at home.

Jeremy- Oklahoma 24, Kansas State 21
Nick-Oklahoma 30, Kansas State 31

No. 12 TCU (4-1) vs. No 15 Oklahoma State (5-1), 4pm ET, FOX Sports 1
Line: TCU -10, O/U: 62
Another great game from the Big 12 this weekend.  TCU had Baylor beat last week, but unraveled in the final 10 minutes and lost a heartbreaker.  This team is extremely dangerous averaging 45.8 points per game on offense and last week aside have been really solid defensively.  OK State has been a bit Jekyll and Hyde, nearly knocking off FSU in week one but has struggled against the bottom three teams of the Big 12 the past three games.  Despite the heartbreaking loss last week, I think TCU comes out firing and smokes the Pokes.

Jeremy- TCU 38, Oklahoma State 20
Nick-TCU 45, Oklahoma State 34

No. 17 Arizona State (4-1) vs. No. 23 Stanford (4-2), 10:30pm ET, ESPN/WatchESPN
Line: STAN -4, O/U: 53
It’s not always pretty for Stanford but they’ve got ASU’s number, whether they’re home or in the desert.  Stanford has the best defense in the nation and the offense is coming off its best performance of the season.  ASU has the 92nd ranked scoring defense (31.4ppg) and Kevin Hogan and the Cardinal go in and get it done.

Jeremy- Stanford 30, ASU 20
Nick- Stanford 24, Arizona State 21



Upset Alert

No. 9 Oregon (5-1) vs. Washington (5-1), 8pm ET, FOX Sports 1
Line: UO -21, O/U: 65
Oregon has won the last 10 games in this series and in the six games they’ve won at home, their average margin of victory over UW is 28.5 points.  Couple that with the fact that they’re coming off a decisive win over UCLA and things look bleak for the Huskies on Saturday.  That said, Oregon’s offensive line is still unsettled and Washington has one of the best front-seven’s in the country.  I like this UW team and I’m taking them in the upset.

Jeremy- Washington 27, Oregon 24
Nick-Washington 35, Oregon 33

No. 24 Clemson (4-2) @ Boston College (4-2), 3:30pm ET, ESPNU/WatchESPN
Line: CLEM -4.5, O/U: 44.5
Clemson is coming off a physical, last second win over Louisville in which they lost their starting quarterback, Deshaun Watson and travel to an equally physical opponent in BC.  I think the Tigers do just enough to win but don’t be surprised if BC pulls off another ridiculous upset at home (ask USC what it’s like to play there coming off an emotional win).

Jeremy- Clemson 27, Boston College 17
Nick- Clemson 45, BC 20

No. 4 Baylor (6-0) @ West Virginia (4-2), 12pm ET, FOX Sports 1
Line: BAY -8, O/U: 80.5
No one wants to go to West Virginia and they especially don’t want to go on the heels of a knockdown, drag out, last second win the week before.  Will Baylor be able to put last week’s emotional win the in the past or will it carry over and cost them in Morgantown against a dangerous West Virginia team?  The Bears have been much less impressive on the road…

Jeremy- Baylor 41, WV 27
Nick-Baylor 70, West Virginia 56

Top 25

No. 1 Mississippi State (6-0), IDLE
Next game- Sat, Oct. 25 @ Kentucky

No. 3 Ole Miss (6-0) vs. Tennessee (3-3), 7pm ET, ESPN/WatchESPN
Line: MISS -17, O/U: 46.5
Tennessee is a nice story and I keep waiting to Ole Miss to start acting like Ole Miss again but I don’t think it will be this week.  The Rebel defense will be too much for a bad Tennessee offensive line.  Look out Justin Worley, ish is about to get real.

Jeremy- Ole Miss 35, Tennessee 17
Nick-Ole Miss 31, Tennessee 17


No. 6 Auburn (5-1), IDLE
Next game- Sat, Oct 25 vs. South Carolina


No. 8 Michigan State (5-1) @ Indiana (3-3), 3:30pm ET, ESPN/WatchESPN
Line: MSU -17, O/U: 59.5
Indiana has a nice offense but their defense might be the worst in college football.  Michigan State has a solid defense and a solid offense.  Michigan State wins big.

Jeremy- Michigan State 45, Indiana 24
Nick-Michigan State 48, Indiana 21

No. 10 Georgia (5-1) @ Arkansas (3-3), 4pm ET, SEC Network/WatchESPN
Line: UGA -4, O/U: 54
A lot of people are calling for an upset here but I’m not ready to go there yet.  I think Georgia might be hitting their stride and Arkansas just doesn’t have enough pieces to win this game yet. 

Jeremy- Georgia 34, Arkansas 21
Nick-Georgia 31, Arkansas 24


No. 13 Ohio State (4-1) vs. Rutgers (5-1), 3:30pm ET, ABC/ESPN2
Line: OSU -22, 63
The Buckeyes dropped off the college football radar after their loss to Virginia Tech but have quietly beat their last three opponents by a combined score of 168-52.  Rutgers is improved and they’ve gotten solid play from quarterback, Gary Nova but I think Ohio State makes a statement this week and reminds us all that they’re still a national power.

Jeremy- Ohio State 44, Rutgers 23
Nick-Ohio State 56, Rutgers 24



No. 16 Arizona (5-1), IDLE
Next game- Sat, Oct 25 @ Washington State


No. 18 East Carolina (5-1), IDLE
Next game- Thu, Oct 23 vs. UCONN


No. 19 Nebraska (5-1) @ Northwestern (3-3), 7:30pm ET, BTN
Line: NEB -7, O/U: 52
Both teams are coming off losses and Northwestern seems woefully outmatched here.  Ameer Abdullah and the Huskers should have no problems running over the Wildcats… but then again it is Nebraska, so who knows.

Jeremy- Nebraska 33, Northwestern 21
Nick-Nebraska 35, Northwestern 34

No. 20 Utah 29, Oregon State 23, 2OT


No. 22 USC (4-2) vs. Colorado (2-4), 6pm ET, Pac-12 Network
Line: USC -21, O/U: 62
USC is like a box of chocolates.  You never know what you’re going to get.  There’s nothing about Colorado that says they should even have a prayer in this game, except for the fact that they’re playing USC.  Well, SC is at home and I think they’ll take care of the Buffs.

Jeremy- USC 45, Colorado 14
Nick-USC 48, Colorado 20


No. 25 Marshall (6-0) @ FIU (3-4), 6pm ET
Line: MARSH -23, O/U: 56.5
Rakeem Cato and the Herd will do what they do against C-USA opponents- win 40-something to 20-something.

Jeremy- Marshall 47, FIU 17
Nick-Marshall 56, FIU 13


Best of the Rest

San Jose State (2-3) @ Wyoming (3-3), 4pm ET, ESPN3
Line: SJSU -1.5, O/U: 46.5
The battle between to hopeful bowl teams.  Wyoming is coming off a tough loss at Hawaii last week and missing their starting running back.  San Jose is coming off a win over conference foe, UNLV.  The Trojans have been dreadful at home so I’m banking on some high-altitude, home magic for the Pokes.

Jeremy- Wyoming 23, SJSU 20
Nick-WYO 24, San Jose State 17

Kentucky (5-1) @ LSU (5-2), 7:30pm ET, SEC Network/WatchESPN
Line: LSU -10, O/U: 53
This might be one of the biggest head scratchers of the season and if LSU wasn’t at home, I don’t see how they’d be favored by 10.  Kentucky has a real shot a win here.  They play solid defense and the offense has moved the football against other SEC opponents.  I like Kentucky with a big upset here.

Jeremy- Kentucky 24, LSU 21
Nick-LSU 31, Kentucky 30

Virginia (4-2) @ Duke (5-1), 12:30pm ET, GamePlan/ESPN3
Line: Duke -3, O/U: 51
The winner of the ACC Coastal might just be the team that wins this game.  The Hoos play really solid defense but I’m not sure they’ll have enough against a well-coached, sneaky-talented Duke team.  Duke wins, but its close.

Jeremy- Duke 27, UVA 23
Nick-Virginia 28, Duke 27

UCLA (4-2) @ Cal (4-2), 3:30pm ET, ABC/ESPN2
Line: UCLA -6.5, O/U: 73.5
UCLA’s season might just be determined against Cal this weekend.  Do they pull themselves up by their bootstraps or fall apart and give the season away.  Cal’s capable of putting up big numbers and if UCLA gets down early lookout.

Jeremy- UCLA 41, Cal 38
Nick-UCLA 56, Cal 53

Missouri (4-2) @ Florida (3-2), 7pm ET, ESPN2/WatchESPN
Line: UF -5.5, O/U: 46.5
Florida’s season and Will Muschamp’s job are pretty much on the line here.  Missouri’s coming off a bad loss, at home to Georgia, but it’s hard to see them playing that poorly two weeks in a row.  That said, their last three games have been a 4-point loss to Indiana, a 1-point win at South Carolina and that blowout at home against Georgia 34-0.  Florida’s been equally unimpressive but I expect them to rise up and defend the Swamp.

Jeremy- Florida 28, Missouri 20
Nick-Florida 24, Missouri 17

Utah State (4-2) @ Colorado State (5-1), 7pm ET, CBS Sports Network
Line: CUS -5.5, O/U: 54.5
This game could go a long win in determining the Mountain division of the Mountain West Conference.  Utah State has played well the last two weeks after losing Chuckie Keeton but CSU is a tough, well-coached football team. 

Jeremy- CSU 30, USU 27
Nick-CSU 35, SUS 28

Kansas (2-4) @ Texas Tech (2-4), 3:30pm ET
Line: TTU -13, O/U: 58.5
Hey, someone’s getting a much needed Big 12 win. 

Jeremy- TTU 34, Kansas 24
Nick-Texas Tech 48, Kansas 17

Players to Watch

Jameis Winston, QB, FSU
This is the biggest game of the season for the ‘Noles and while they’ve faced good teams already this season, this might be their biggest challenge to date.  Winston will face pressure from a blitz-happy Irish defense and he’ll need his line to be sharp and his young receivers to get open.  In the end, however, it will again come down to Jameis blocking out the noise and playing at a high level.

Everett Golson, QB, ND
Like Winston, Notre Dame’s success depends on Golson’s ability to make plays against a underperforming be dangerous FSU defense.  Golson has turned the ball over nine times (4 INT’s and 5 fumbles) in the last three games and that cannot happen on Saturday.  Facing an athletic, but young FSU front seven, Golson will likely have running lanes and it’s important he sets the tone early, that he’ll get out of the pocket and make plays with his feet. 

Shaq Thompson, LB/RB, UW
Shaq Thompson might be Washington’s best offensive weapon.  After all, he has scored four touchdowns this season… on defense.  The Washington front seven will be key against a shaky Oregon offensive line and Thompson and Co.’s ability to force turnovers will be the difference between a blowout loss or a potential win.  Don’t be surprised to see the Jack-of-all-trades Thompson line up on offense as well.  UW is going to need to reach deep into their bag of tricks in Autzen.

Kevin Hogan, QB, Stanford
Kevin Hogan had his best game of the season last week against another poor Pac-12 defense (WSU) and he’s going against another this week at ASU.  The Sun Devil offense will score some points, so Stanford is going to need Hogan and the offense to build on the momentum they’ve built.


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