Thursday, September 18, 2014

College Football- Week 4 Picks and Previews


No. 5 Auburn (2-0) @ No. 20 Kansas State (2-0), Thursday, 7:30pm ET, ESPN/WatchESPN

Line: Auburn -9, O/U: 64.5

This is a huge game for both teams and raises a lot of questions. Can K State come out with an upset in the biggest game to come to the Little Apple in 40 years? Can Auburn avoid a letdown game against an under the radar Kansas State team? It is tough to decide which game this will go but the first thing I can say is it will be closer than the nine point spread.

 

Auburn has looked good so far this season against lesser opponents. It doesn’t look like it has missed a beat in the rushing attack ranking 7th in the country averaging 330 yards per game. Cameron Artis-Payne and Corey Grant have combined for nearly 500 yards and five scores and keep this offense on balance. Nick Marshall is the engineer of the offense and looks like he is getting back to his 2013 form. The Tigers as always are looking to run the ball downhill and that is going to be what they need to do to be successful in this game. The Tiger defense has been pretty average so far allowing 323 yards a game, but is 21st in the country allowing just 17 points per contest.

 

I am not ready to start calling Jake Waters as good as Colin Kline at quarterback for Kansas State, but he has the Wildcats looking like a sleeper in the Big 12. On paper the Wildcats don’t overwhelm anyone, but they play solid on both sides of the ball. Waters will be the key for KSU in this game as its offense revolves directly around him and his nearly 700 yards of total offense and six touchdowns this season. If Waters can make some plays through the air and keep the Auburn defense on the field he could give the Wildcats a chance in this one. The KSU defense is what will be wins or loses the Wildcats this game. This season they have pretty solid allowing 306 total yards per game, while giving up only 87 per game on the ground that is 20th in the nation. The Wildcats are going to need to keep that up to stay close to the Tigers.

 

I think with the atmosphere in Manhattan on Thursday night and the Wildcats looking like a Big 12 sleeper this game will be closer than the nine point spread. I still like Auburn to come away with the win in this game, but expect Kansas State to be within a touchdown late.

 

Nick-Auburn 34, Kansas State 31
Jeremy- Auburn 43, Kansas State 27

No comments:

Post a Comment